Final Poll: Presidential Race Tied in Omaha

Posted 12:13 p.m. — The last Rasmussen Poll taken before Tuesday’s election indicates the presidential race is tied within the Omaha area.

This is it.  The front door of the Omaha headquarters for the Barack Obama campaign.  BRAD DAVIS/The Ballot Box

This is it. The front door of the Omaha headquarters for the Barack Obama campaign. BRAD DAVIS/The Ballot Box

According to the Web site fivethirtyeight.com, voters in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District polled 51 percent for John McCain and 48 percent for Barack Obama.

The three-point difference is within the poll’s plus-or-minus five-point margin of error.

The final poll shows Omaha is split.  So are these neighbors.  BRAD DAVIS/The Ballot Box

The final poll shows Omaha is split. So are these neighbors. BRAD DAVIS/The Ballot Box

That Omaha even matters in an otherwise solidly Republican state is because of the state’s proportional allotment of its five electoral votes.

Nebraska’s three congressional districts each give their electoral votes to the candidate who wins the district. The state’s other two electoral votes go to the candidate who wins the majority of votes statewide.

Maine is the only other state that allots its electoral votes proportionally. The 48 other states are winner-takes-all.

If Omaha-area voters choose a Democratic presidential candidate, it will be the first time they will have done so since voting for Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.

The back window of an SUV in an Omaha parking lot.  BRAD DAVIS/The Ballot Box

No surrender: The back window of an SUV in an Omaha parking lot. BRAD DAVIS/The Ballot Box

— BY BRAD DAVIS

Click on “Omaha” in the tags menu at the right-hand side of this page to read previously posted stories as part of The Ballot Box ’08 coverage of Omaha voters.

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4 responses to “Final Poll: Presidential Race Tied in Omaha

  1. Go get ’em Omaha! I’m a Nebraskan living in Virginia and I would be so thrilled if Virginia and Omaha helped decide this thing for Obama!!

  2. hey there– I can’t find the link to the Omaha poll on fivethirtyeight.com….or any recent district 2 poll online for that matter. Do you have the direct link? I grew up there, and am living in california now…I would absolutely love it if Omaha went for Obama!

  3. Thanks for your comment. Whatever side of the fence you’re on, it’s interesting to see Omaha matter for a change!

  4. Sure. The link is fivethirtyeight.com. The polling for individual states is on the right-hand side of the page, toward the bottom. Each state is listed by its abbreviation, and races are listed by congressional district. Hope that helpw! The Rasmussen is the only reliable 2nd District poll I know of. The World-Herald isn’t doing polling this year. Thanks for your comment!

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